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Abstract

Social media platforms are involved in all aspects of social life, including in conflict settings. Incidental choices about how they are designed can have profound effects on people when conflict has the potential to escalate to violence. We review theories of conflict escalation and the practice of professional peacebuilders, and distinguish between constructive conflict, which can be part of important societal changes, and destructive conflict where positions become more identity based and intractable. Platforms have largely responded to conflict through content moderation thus far, yet moderation will never affect more than a small amount of objectively policy-violating content, and expanding those efforts will only lead to more backtracking, biased enforcement, and controversy.

Instead, we draw on recently published platform experiments, the reports of content creators, international peacebuilding practitioners, and the experiences of those in conflict settings to argue that platforms often incentivize conflict actors toward more divisive and potentially violence-inducing speech, while also facilitating mass harassment and manipulation. We propose that platforms monitor for the conflict relevant side effects of prioritizing distribution based on engagement, such as the incentivization of divisive content, and that they stop optimizing for certain engagement signals (such as comments, shares, or time spent) in sensitive contexts. It may also be possible for platforms to support the transformation from destructive to constructive conflict by drawing attention to cross-cutting content, and supporting the on-platform efforts of conflict transformation professionals. To produce widespread legitimacy for these efforts, and overcome the problem of business incentives, we recommend the public creation of clear guidelines for conflict-sensitive platform design, including new kinds of practical conflict metrics.

Introduction

Polarization, violence, and social media are inextricably intertwined. Facebook commissioned and agreed with an independent report that concluded that its platform was used to foment division and incite offline violence in Myanmar (Warofka, 2018), and the same military groups that used the platform to foment violence would later restrict it to prevent opposition to a military coup (Wong, 2021). A sitting U.S. president was deplatformed by Twitter with the company acknowledging the use of its platform to incite violence based on fraudulent claims (Twitter, 2021), yet the same platform was credited with being instrumental in protests against less legitimate governments (Tufecki, 2018). Positive or negative, the power of social media to affect conflict is clear.

So far, social media platforms have mostly responded to the problem of violent conflict through content moderation. These efforts are generally reactive, focusing on specific content or crises and outbreaks of violence. Instead, we argue for the prevention of destructive society-scale conflict before escalation to physical violence occurs. Our approach is proactive, long-term, scalable, and operates through platform design rather than content moderation policy. We propose addressing underlying conflict drivers at a deeper level, with an analysis rooted in general conflict principles, informed by the experiences of professional peacebuilders. Peacebuilders are civil society practitioners who use non-violent means to reconcile differences and to collectively transform societal relationships and structures (as distinguished from peacekeeping, which refers to militarized security operations).

Social media companies did not originally envision the central role that their platforms would play in geopolitical and intercommunal conflict and these effects have arisen largely as a result of incidental decisions in service of business goals. However, evidence is accumulating for the nature of the relationship between social media and political conflict. Recent systematic reviews find a positive correlation between social media use and polarization (Kubin et al., 2021) but also positive correlations with political knowledge and participation (Lorenz-Spreen et al., 2021). Platform experiments in this area are starting to become public, as when Facebook attempted to reduce the distribution of political content (Glazer et al., 2023; Klepper & Seitz, 2021; Gizmodo, 2022). We also have the documented experiences of those living in conflict settings and how they relate to social media (Build Up, 2022; Hagey & Horwitz, 2021; Lefton et al., 2019; Schirch ed., 2021). This collective evidence has provided an important opportunity to reassess how the design of platforms relates to conflict.

Designing a platform for “better” conflict outcomes requires three things, corresponding to the three sections of this paper.

First, since not all types of conflict are inherently “bad,” we need to be more specific about our design goals. In the first section we review the fundamentals of conflict escalation, showing that large scale changes in perceptions, patterns of behavior, and societal structures occur long before the onset of physical violence. Even if the only goal is to prevent violence, social media must contend with conflict dynamics in much earlier stages of escalation. To clarify what to do in earlier stages we summarize previous discussions of the difference between “constructive” and “destructive” conflict. This includes distinguishing between “affective” polarization, where people dislike and demonize each other, and “issue” based polarization, where people disagree about specific issues. We argue that affective polarization is a reasonable place to start measuring and intervening in pre-violent platform conflict dynamics.

Second, we review the different pathways whereby platform design can facilitate conflict. In our view, there is not strong support for widespread effects from “filter bubbles.” We also don’t think conflict escalation can be addressed through more accurate or more aggressive content moderation, although this may be necessary when conflict is at a violent peak. Instead, we focus on the incentivization of the production and distribution of divisive content, and the ways that platform design can enable mass harassment and manipulation.

Finally, we synthesize the above sections to describe a number of platform design strategies that could result in healthier conflicts, focusing on three types of changes:

• Change content ranking to reward productive and connecting interactions, rather than rewarding divisive content with greater distribution.
• Place reasonable limits on the use of the platform to disseminate broad messages, to better mirror the safeguards of offline life.
• Consider design affordances that support the on-platform work of peacebuilders, recognizing that peace is not just the absence of violent conflict, but a society in which everyone can thrive.

In order to design and evaluate effective changes, we will need a new set of conflict-aware metrics to help us understand the incentives and capabilities that platforms create and hold platforms publicly accountable for any resulting externalities. We conclude by discussing other barriers to implementation, and how future research can help.

How Conflicts Escalate

In order to talk about what platforms are and aren’t currently doing to respond to conflict, we need a framework for what conflict is, when it is undesirable, and how it escalates to physical violence. In this section, we draw from the understandings of conflict developed within the professional peacebuilding community, and by researchers in political science and social psychology.

Conflict cycles begin long before violence

In the conflict literature, a number of models look to explain the life cycle of conflict and its complex dynamics. These models differ in scope and language, but share an important characteristic: that conflict happens in a reinforcing cycle, or spiral. All of them describe the strengthening of factions, hardening of positions, and increasing distrust and fear. If these differences cannot be resolved, conflict participants may resort to violence.

Deutsch (1969) notes that conflict can occur for a variety of reasons, not just incompatibility of goals. Two parties may disagree on the best method to achieve some outcome, or may misperceive each other’s true positions, or the true state of the world. Regardless of how a conflict begins, it can take on a life of its own:

Destructive conflict is characterized by a tendency to expand and to escalate. As a result, such conflict often becomes independent of its initiating causes and is likely to continue after these have become irrelevant or have been forgotten.

… Paralleling the expansion of the scope of conflict there is an increasing reliance upon a strategy of power and upon the tactics of threat, coercion, and deception. Correspondingly, there is a shift away from a strategy of persuasion and from the tactics of conciliation, minimizing differences, and enhancing mutual understanding and good-will. And within each of the conflicting parties, there is increasing pressure for uniformity of opinion and a tendency for leadership and control to be taken away from those elements that are more conciliatory and invested in those who are militantly organized for waging conflict through combat. (Deutsch, 1969, p. 351)

Pruitt and Kim (2004) present a model where escalation operates through changes in three areas: perceptions, patterns of behavior, and societal structures. Where fewer interpersonal ties exist to counter negative stereotypes about the out-group and in-group and institutional incentives foster antagonism, people employ more severe actions or rhetoric against the "other" (Pruitt & Kim, 2004). As people witness severe actions or rhetoric, they develop a basis for mistrust, resulting in "confident negative expectations regarding another's conduct" (Lewicki et al., 1998, p. 439). These persistent confirmed negative expectations alter the nature of groups and the self-protective ways they engage, reinforcing competitive, defensive, apathetic, and combative norms for interaction. Simplification abounds as complex issues are collapsed into simplistic truths and signals of group membership, with the resulting perception being that “instead of dealing with a particular threat from Other, Party must now deal with the general issue of how to resist an immoral enemy” (Pruitt & Kim, 2004). This perception of the other side as immoral and threatening paves the way for the remaining transformations that complete the escalation to violence.

A related body of conflict research is framed around “polarization,” a broad concept which has been defined in many different ways (Bramson et al., 2017). Recent work in psychology and political science distinguishes between issue-based polarization, defined as the distance between parties on questions of policy, and relationship-based or affective polarization, meaning the increasing dislike, distrust, and animosity towards those from other parties or groups (Iyengar et al., 2019).

Just as some conflict can be constructive, issue-based polarization is not necessarily problematic. In contrast, affective polarization can increase the risk of escalation to violence by taking a conflict that is more specific and localized toward something more general, identity-based and antagonistic. Issue-based polarization becomes affective when we can’t change what we think or say without losing core relationships or identities. Research on belonging and social boundaries points to an understanding that we are “driven not only by what we think, but also powerfully by who we think we are” (Mason, 2018). More broadly, conflict theorists consider increased polarization a warning sign for armed conflict (Laurenson, 2019) and the deterioration of democracy (McCoy & Somer, 2019).

However escalation is described, the end point of such a destructive spiral is either a tipping point where all parties are hurting so much that structural change becomes possible, or settling into a state of “intractable conflict” (Burgess & Burgess, 2023) where structures become rigid and de-escalation becomes very difficult.

Constructive and destructive conflict

Conflict is not inherently bad. It is part of how societies change for the better, and is sometimes necessary to achieve justice. It is also an essential part of democratic debate, and necessary to hold power to account.

Conflict scholars and political theorists have developed a variety of ways of talking about the dual nature of conflict. Deutsch (1969) talks of “constructive” and “destructive” conflict, noting that, for example, two parties can disagree about methods while agreeing on goals. Mouffe (2013, pp. 191-206) distinguishes “agonistic” vs. “antagonistic” approaches to politics. McCoy and Somer (2019) are concerned with the effects of “pernicious” polarization on democracies. Political scientists talk about issue-based and affective polarization (Iyengar et al., 2019). Sociologists investigate whether a social movement brings people together or tears them apart (Coley et al., 2020). Violence is a particularly extreme and destructive type of conflict, with lasting consequences; nonetheless philosophers have argued for millennia over the possibility of a “just war.” Conversely, it is widely recognized that the mere absence of violence may hide deeper problems, leading to the concept of a “just peace” (Clements, 2004).

One fundamental difference between constructive or agonistic conflict and destructive or antagonistic conflict is how we feel about others when we take sides. When I hold an agonistic opinion, I disagree with you, but recognize your humanity and dignity when I hold an antagonistic opinion my disagreement strips you of humanity or dignity. The theory of “agonistic democracy” recognizes that political factions often have fundamentally incompatible goals, and claims this conflict is not to be eliminated (for example, through partisan victory or authoritarian pacification) but transformed. Agonistic conflict is central to democracy; antagonistic conflict can destroy it:

The aim of a pluralist democracy is to provide the institutions that will allow [conflicts] to take an agonistic form, in which opponents will treat each other not as enemies to be destroyed, but as adversaries who will fight for the victory of their position while recognizing the right of their opponents to fight for theirs. An agonistic democracy requires the availability of a choice between real alternatives. (Mouffe, 2009)

Many peacebuilding professionals subscribe to a related framework of “conflict transformation” that sees conflict, especially recurring cycles of conflict, as embedded in deeper structural problems, including systemic injustices. Conflict transformation seeks not to eliminate conflict but to change its nature (Lederach, 2003; Clements, 2004). Mouffe similarly contends that the goal of democracy is to turn antagonistic conflict between “enemies” into agonistic conflict between “adversaries.” These ideas—and the corresponding practice of those professionals who must actually defuse violence—provide an important framework for intervening in conflict dynamics on social media.

While no definition of “good” versus “bad” conflict can account for all the richness of real conflict dynamics, in this paper, we will use the terms “destructive conflict” to refer to antagonistic conflict between affectively polarized opponents and “constructive conflict” to refer to agonistic conflict about issues.

Social media and conflict escalation dynamics

Conflict escalation is a long-term process, accompanied by negative changes in society long before the appearance of violence. Arguably, these changes are themselves harmful, but even the limited goal of preventing physical violence requires attention to conflict processes at far earlier stages. In this paper we are primarily concerned with how social media can manage and de-escalate conflict during ongoing operations, rather than only responding to crises where violence erupts. This dovetails with wider calls to develop the field of conflict prevention as a potentially much more effective and far less costly approach to managing conflict (United Nations Security Council, 2019).

An understanding of conflict escalation dynamics allows an analysis of the role of platforms in escalating destructive conflicts, and suggests ways they could be designed to de-escalate conflict. Escalation is a human process, but the architecture of social media platforms can amplify existing conflict dynamics, exacerbating fault lines and reinforcing destructive patterns of behavior (Puig Larrauri & Morrison, 2022). Recent work (Guess et. al, 2023; Nyhan et. al, 2023) has been characterized by some as exonerating social media for playing a significant role in societal polarization (Clegg, 2023), but those studies examine short-term effects on average individuals, whereas we argue that conflict escalation via social media is a long-term phenomenon, affecting ecosystem incentives, and often targeting especially vulnerable individuals.

Yet escalation doesn't automatically equal violence. If the structures of society contain safeguards (strong institutions, rule of law, legitimate and trusted conflict resolution systems, etc.) then there is less risk of widespread violence (Kriesberg & Dayton, 2012; Lederach, 1997). Platforms, as one of the major mediators of both public and private communication, have a role to play in conflict resilience. At the very least, they should not create additional risk by amplifying destructive conflict escalation cycles. At best, they should create the enabling conditions for constructive conflict to unfold.

Certain types of conflict actors are primarily financially motivated, as we will see below, and platforms should not allow such actors to inflame broader divisions. It is more difficult to judge politically motivated conflict. Mass social movements universally claim to be fighting for justice, and exploiting pre-existing divisions is an effective political strategy (McCoy & Somer, 2019). How then should platforms react to polarizing strategies? One answer is to judge movements by the goals they espouse; but the means also matter, and anyway platforms are not equipped to make global judgments of who is in the right—nor should we grant them such power. Yet suppression of all conflict is authoritarian pacification, while universal support just allows conflicting parties to escalate unchecked. We argue that the correct goal of social media design is neither to eliminate conflict nor to judge the merits of specific parties, but to incentivize constructive over destructive conflict.

In the remainder of this article, we examine how the current design of social media often increases incentives towards destructive conflict and reduces incentives towards constructive conflict, and what can be done about it.

The relationship between social media and conflict

The most comprehensive reviews of the relationship between social media and constructs like “polarization” suggest a positive correlation (Kubin et al., 2021; Lorenz-Spreen et al., 2021) The question of causation is more complex, and requires a deeper analysis of several plausible causal mechanisms and a variety of relevant evidence. Many of these questions center around the recommender systems that algorithmically select content for each user, because one of the core questions of conflict-sensitive platform design is who is exposed to what.

Filter bubbles are probably not driving polarization

The “filter bubble,” “echo chamber,” and “rabbit hole” metaphors encompass a variety of hypotheses about the possibility of narrow or one-sided exposure to information. These metaphors have been central to discussions of the relationship between social media and polarization for the last decade. If these hypotheses are true, then polarization could be reduced by increasing exposure to counter-ideological content.

However, the accumulated evidence does not support the idea that filter bubbles are driving increases in polarization, at least for most users. Social media has been found to broaden the information diets of most users (Barberá, 2020). The divisions that exist on platforms generally pre-date social media (Boxell et al., 2020). Further, increasing exposure diversity on social media may only have small effects on polarization (Stray, 2022), or in some cases, can even make polarization worse (Bail et al., 2018). A recent experiment increasing cross-cutting content (Nyhan et al., 2023) had no detectable effect on survey-based polarization measures after two months, which is consistent with the hypothesis that individual level filter bubbles are probably not strong enough to be driving societal polarization.

Meta-analyses of the positive effects of intergroup contact suggest that it is not mere exposure to the outgroup that produces change, but rather the quality of that exposure (Pettigrew & Tropp, 2006) including factors such as a cooperative environment, common goals, equal status, and norms endorsing contact. Clearly, many online interactions with alternative viewpoints do not meet these criteria, suggesting possible reasons why the mere exposure to counter-attitudinal information online does not have the desired effect.

There is a related family of theories about “rabbit holes,” the idea that recommender systems are making people more extreme as a result of a feedback loop between user beliefs and recommender outputs (Thorburn et al., 2023). An effect of this nature appears in certain stylized simulations of recommender operation (Mansoury et al., 2020; Carroll et al., 2021). Some studies of YouTube show this effect using bots that click randomly (Brown et al., 2022). However, users do not click randomly so this approach greatly overestimates rabbit hole effects (Ribeiro et al., 2023), and users don’t watch extreme videos on YouTube more than they consume them across the broader web (Hosseinmardi et al., 2021), which suggests a limited causal role for YouTube’s recommender.

One notable limitation of these studies is that they generally focus on average effects, whereas studies of radicalization often focus on individuals who commit extreme acts (e.g. Koehler, 2014; Roose, 2019). For these more extreme individuals, there are typically both online and offline processes at play (Gill et al., 2017, Baugut & Neumann, 2020) suggesting that processes may be longer-term and involve ecosystem-level effects. Generally, we believe that there are more widespread and reliable phenomena than “filter bubbles” and “rabbit holes” for conceptualizing the relationship between social media, polarization, and conflict.

Social media’s broader negative impact on conflict dynamics

While criticisms based on filter bubbles and rabbit holes may exaggerate short-term impact on the average person, there remain areas where social media does impact the broader population and therefore has a responsibility for conflict outcomes.

There have always been actors who deliberately escalate conflict by heightening the divisions between groups. These have been called “conflict entrepreneurs” (Friis, 1999; Ripley, 2021) or “political entrepreneurs” (McCoy & Somer, 2019). Escalating conflict tends to be more destructive when the motivations of actors are more about furthering their own goals, rather than achieving a societal benefit (Ripley, 2021). The efforts of such actors have been aided and amplified by the affordances of platforms. In addition, many actors who would otherwise refrain from divisive tactics have reported being pushed towards more antagonistic rhetoric, in order to receive increased distribution.

In this section, we lay out evidence for how social media platforms are impacting conflict escalation dynamics across the globe, leading to more destructive conflict. Note that we do not claim that social media is the primary driver of conflict, nor that the harms of social media outweigh the benefits which seem to include, for example, greater political knowledge and participation (Lorenz-Spreen et al.,  2021). Further, many of the processes we identify have long existed in other forms of media, for example, the use of radio to escalate violence in Rwanda (Puig Larrauri & Morrison, 2022). Rather, we are saying that certain social media dynamics are negative externalities and significant drivers of destructive conflict, regardless of the relative contribution of other drivers of conflict or the good that social media may do in other domains.

The enabling of mass harassment and manipulation

Social media’s open system enables individual untrusted actors to target individuals en masse without the offline constraints of privacy, negative feedback, and the need to protect their reputation. For business reasons, social media systems are often designed with public visibility as the default setting (Frenkel & Kang, 2021) and users on social media platforms may sign up for accounts without realizing that they are discoverable by strangers by default. This means that conflict actors can reach a wide array of targets, without the high economic costs or social consequences they would normally experience offline. Youth, the elderly, and particularly vulnerable individuals are usually afforded some protection from strangers by others in the community who mediate those interactions. Such protections (e.g. age-appropriate design codes) are now being added retroactively to systems that were originally designed to be as frictionless and open as possible.

This role of social media in conflict escalation has been widely recognised by peacebuilding practitioners. In 2016, a U.N. panel of experts report on South Sudan concluded that “social media has been used by partisans on all sides, including some senior government officials, to exaggerate incidents, spread falsehoods and veiled threats or post outright messages of incitement” (U.N. Security Council, 2016). More generally, the U.N.’s expert on human rights and freedom of expression stated that social media is fuelling hate speech in warzones creating an “extremely dangerous” situation for vulnerable civilians (U.N., 2022). Below we discuss three broad strategies that conflict actors have used: sock puppets, misinformation, and targeted harassment.

One strategy is to use a large number of centrally controlled accounts (“sock puppets”) to create the appearance of a mass movement, and especially to manipulate recommendation algorithms into treating such content as genuinely popular. These accounts may be bots posing as humans or they may be individually operated by real people; either way they are used deceptively. There are so many examples—many uncovered by platform teams—that the phenomenon has a name in industry practice: “coordinated inauthentic behavior” (Cinelli et al., 2022).

To take a few recent examples, a number of networks of inauthentic and hacked accounts on Twitter were found to be amplifying a narrative that Sudanese internet users opposed the government’s decision to transfer al-Bashir to the International Criminal Court (Jones, 2021). Later, a sock puppet network was found to be sharing content about the United Arab Emirates’ support for and relationship with Sudan (Jones, 2022). In both cases, these accounts were also involved in promoting inauthentic narratives in other Middle East countries. In Libya, coordinated networks have been used to bolster Khalifa Haftar’s Libyan National Army (Grossman et al., 2020) or to undermine U.N.-led attempts to forge peace (Stanford Internet Observatory, 2020). These networks have been shown to originate outside of Libya, notably in Egypt, the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Russia. In the Philippines, the government has reportedly (per BuildUp’s sources) used troll armies to push narratives critical of the Communist New People’s Army and discredit a resumption of peace talks, mirroring other reports of the use of troll armies in the Philippines (Bengali & Harper, 2019).

Manipulation of information is another common approach (though it is important to note that falsehood is not required to mobilize people through divisive strategies, so eliminating misinformation would not eliminate destructive conflict). Users often have little indication of the original source of a piece of content and are therefore vulnerable to believing that content in their social feeds is trustworthy. Social proof is a powerful influence (Cialdini & Goldstein, 2004) and a small number of hyper engagers can push a narrative to make it seem popular to others, even when a wider silent majority disagrees. While the effects of Russian manipulation in the 2016 U.S. election specifically may be exaggerated (Bail et al., 2019; Eady et al., 2023), the wider effects of intentional misinformation are likely broad. Small groups in India have been successful at pushing narratives blaming Muslims for various societal issues (Avaaz, 2019). A relatively small group of users was responsible for the rapid growth of the Stop the Steal movements in the U.S., based on the false premise of widespread electoral fraud (Tech Policy Press, 2023). In early 2021, Brazil’s Federal Police reported that it had found evidence of “digital militias,” an elaborate network of public officials—from the Federal Cabinet all the way to the municipality—creating inauthentic pages, posts, and comments on social media to produce fake news and attack democratic institutions (Global Voices, 2022). One of the authors has seen a rise in YouTube channels created specifically to share disinformation and/or pro-military content about Myanmar. Many of these channels are run by financially motivated actors, who are creating disinformation in order to capitalize on YouTube’s monetization options. These actors are primarily based in Cambodia and Vietnam, and some are also working to produce disinformation on Ukraine.

Targeted escalation can also take the form of harassment when platforms allow a small number of harassers to hyper-engage with great effect. Online harassment particularly impacts women, people of color, and minority groups, and often spills over into offline violence. During the recent Kenyan elections, Build Up found that hashtags were used in coordination by a small number of actors on Twitter to drown out the Kenya Kwanza conversation by targeting the party with #liefesto (Build Up, 2022). In Ethiopia, there have been reports that online trolls pose as members of different ethnic groups to incite tensions between them (Selegna, 2022). In 2014, a rumor spread on Facebook that a young Buddhist woman had been raped by two Muslim men in Mandalay, Myanmar. In response, a mob formed outside the teashop of the alleged attackers, sparking altercations that led to two deaths (Waheed, 2015).

Whether financially or politically motivated, these are just a few conflict-relevant examples of the widely studied phenomenon of platform manipulation, much of which is polarizing or escalatory (King et al., 2017; DiResta et al., 2020; Ong & Cabañes, 2018). Those who want to create destructive forms of conflict now have powerful new tools to aid in this effort, and the effectiveness of these tools means that some will adopt similar tactics, while others who might moderate the space, especially women (Krook & Sanín, 2020), may find it too toxic to engage (Anderson & Auxier, 2020). Because elections are generally zero-sum competitions, the effectiveness of inauthentic tactics means that opposing partisans will feel pressure to use them, leading to the proliferation of dark public relations firms that offer disinformation for hire (Silverman et al., 2020).

These are not new observations; and large platforms have made considerable investments in detecting coordinated manipulation and harassment campaigns, though not uniformly across the globe (e.g. Meta, 2021). Smaller platforms may lack the resources, know how, or motivation. In either case, we argue that these problems should be understood as enabled by underlying design decisions. Reactive response will not be as effective in the long term as changes in the ways people can interact online. For example, WhatsApp has progressively reduced the number of groups that a message can be shared to at once, which has led to dramatic reductions in the spread of inflammatory rumors (Benton, 2022).

The incentive toward divisiveness for non-conflict actors

The design of platforms can not only benefit those seeking to intentionally divide others, but also influence those who would otherwise be more moderate. Evidence for the incentive toward divisiveness exists from three primary sources: the experiences of publishers, reports on experimental results from within platforms, and external studies of the relationship between engagement and indicators of divisiveness. In particular, most recommenders strongly favor items which the user is predicted to engage with in some way (Begani et al., 2022). Engagement is a useful signal of value to users, and essential in some form to any media business model. It is also an error-prone signal and attempting to maximize engagement can result in damaging side effects (Bengani et al., 2022). In particular, if more engagement leads to greater distribution, then content creators have an incentive to produce divisive content.

Many publishers, who do numerous experiments to understand what does or does not work to drive business relevant metrics, have reported this incentive toward divisiveness. Buzzfeed built their business on the systematic understanding of content performance leveraging frequent experimentation (Wang, 2017). Jonah Peretti, Buzzfeed’s CEO, emailed Facebook in 2018 about the fact that the most divisive content they created was getting the most virality, creating an incentive to produce more of it. He specifically blamed an algorithm change that prioritized comments and reshares. Internal analyses in response to this email reportedly confirmed that “misinformation, toxicity, and violent content are inordinately prevalent among reshares” (Hagey & Horwitz, 2021). This same perverse incentive was noted by politicians in Europe (Morris, 2021), who called Facebook’s ranking system a “hate algorithm” that deepened political polarization. Ben Sasse, a former U.S. senator who served on committees providing oversight of tech platforms, reported that many of the celebrities he had interviewed feel trapped by these incentives and that several who had tried to “break out of the vicious cycle of rage-inflammation” learned to “throw themselves back into the outrage loop” when “no one clicks” and “metrics plummet” (Sasse, 2018).

Convergent evidence for the incentives that publishers report can be found in experiments conducted by platforms that have been reported or leaked. Most public information indicates that predicted engagement is a major factor in content ranking for large platforms (Lada et al., 2021; Narayanan, 2023; Oremus & Merrill, 2021; Zhao et al.,2019). A recently reported Facebook change removed predicted comments and shares from the ranking formula for political content, and led to small reductions in platform usage (0.18% fewer visits) but also a greater than 50% decrease in “anger” emoji reactions as well as accompanying reductions in bullying, inaccurate information, and graphic content (Horwitz et al., 2023). Previous articles based on internal documents from Facebook have shown similar effects where, for example, changes away from engagement-based ranking for health related content led to a 12% decrease in misinformation and a 7% decrease in negative interactions (Klepper & Seitz, 2021).

Leaked documents made available by Gizmodo (2023), which represent a small sample of the large number of experiments that platforms have done, show more convergent results where engagement-based ranking relates to negative outcomes. In particular, they show that reducing the influence of predicted reshares in content ranking can reduce the spread of inflammatory content in at-risk countries (Anonymous, 2021), reducing the weight of downstream engagement leads to drops in misinformation prevalence (Anonymous, 2020a), reducing effect of anger reactions leads to reductions in misinformation and graphic content (Anonymous, 2020b), and that engagement incentives and measures of misinformation, graphic content, and bullying can tradeoff (Anonymous, 2019a). Taken together, the available evidence points to the existence of engagement-based incentives within Facebook’s systems consistent with the described experiences of publishers, where more divisive content performs better. Twitter recently open-sourced its algorithm (Narayanan, 2023) which revealed that Twitter similarly prioritizes content that it expects users to retweet and reply to, which means we might expect that similar conflict dynamics are playing out on that platform.

While external researchers are generally unable to do true experiments on platforms, analyses of public data and lab experiments have generated another line of evidence, showing the same relationship between engagement and divisive content. Much of this work has been on Twitter, where data has historically been more accessible. Studies using Twitter data have shown that moral-emotional language (Brady et al., 2017; de León & Trilling, 2021) and outgroup derogation (Mercandante et al., 2023; Rathje et al., 2021) are correlated with greater engagement. An experiment conducted by external researchers comparing Twitter’s algorithmic feed to its chronological feed yielded similar results where algorithmically ranked political content was not only deemed more polarizing, but also lower quality (Milli et al., 2023). Most recently, an experiment that removed reshared content from Facebook feeds led to a reduction in exposure to content from untrustworthy sources and in clicks to partisan publishers (Guess et al, 2023). Given these associations and the known platform optimization for engagement, it is unsurprising that publishers have reported an incentive toward divisive content.

Real world effects of mass harassment, manipulation, and divisive content

One possible criticism of the above studies is that they measure reductions in the distribution of content thought to be divisive but do not measure conflict outcomes directly, for example through surveys assessing affective polarization or support for violence. Do divisive narratives really matter, and do they really lead to physical violence? Evidence that they do comes from both lab studies and the experience of peacebuilders.

The effects of various kinds of divisive content have been studied widely in psychology labs, where some of the most reliable ways to generate negative intergroup attitudes toward others are to manipulate fear (Riek et al., 2006), use social influence (Turner, 1991; Mackie & Wright, 2023; Kim et al., 2021), and create competition between groups (Diehl, 1990). Theoretical models backed up by experimental evidence have outlined the mechanisms by which “immersion in a realm of online hate speech” can progress to avoidance and discrimination, and eventually increase the likelihood of violence against outgroup members (Bilewicz & Soral, 2020). Critically, some studies find that people for whom digital media is a primary source of information about politics consider hate speech to be a social norm rather than delinquent behavior (Bilewicz & Soral, 2020), making contempt of outgroups socially acceptable, decreasing intergroup empathy, and paving the path to intergroup violence.

This is corroborated by the experiences of peacebuilders who have seen divisive material propagate widely, driving conflict escalation dynamics rooted in affective polarization (Hawke, 2022). Content about specific issues of contention is often drowned out by more general, simplified, and unspecified claims. This results in the silencing of moderate voices and the acceptance of influencers with high in-group validation, such that users from formerly neutral, adjacent, or cross-cutting positions accumulate into a limited number of camps with increasing in-group cohesion and polarized affiliations. As affiliation becomes more important, there is also a reduction in the quantity and quality of meaningful communication and everyday interaction that are normal to peaceful engagement.

Examples from the field illustrate this. In the run up to the 2022 elections in Kenya, the entry of former Nairobi Governor Mike Mbuvi Sonko into the Mombasa gubernatorial race led to the emergence of online harmful content dividing Kenyans of Arab descent and non-Arab communities along the Kenyan Coast (Build Up & Search for Common Ground, 2022). A retweet network graph from this period shows three clear poles representing the three conflicting political parties. These relatively homogeneous sub-networks represent tight patterns of in-group content sharing, including many negative comments and hate speech about out-groups.

In Lebanon, a social media analysis confirmed the spread of Facebook posts and tweets attributing generalized blame for the country’s shortcomings to Syrian refugees (Build Up, 2019). The posts and tweets occurred in tandem with increasing tension between refugee and host communities, as reported by multiple U.N. agencies. Interviews with civil society actors confirmed that the spread of such content was impacting attitudes among Lebanese towards Syrian refugees. The increased presence of hate speech impacted anti-discriminatory norms, normalizing the harassment and blame of Syrian refugees.

A forthcoming report by the Sudanese Development Initiative (SUDIA) found that conversations on Facebook and Twitter are an important factor in impeding a resolution of the political stalemate. Examining conversations around four key conflict topics, the report finds that politicians respond to opinions shared on social media in ways that suggest they assign as much importance to them as to offline realities.

This incentive toward divisive content exists outside of any individual and cannot be eliminated simply by removing oneself from social media. Thus, experiments that seek to isolate the effects of social media by testing what happens to people who stay off social media (e.g. Allcott et al., 2020; Asimovic et al., 2021) are unlikely to be able to measure the full effect on the conflict ecosystem. The incentive toward conflict will continue to operate on the publishers and politicians in a person’s community, regardless of their individual usage of social media. The same incentives also apply to a person’s friends and family, who will amplify messages from publishers and politicians, on and offline. This holds true even for contexts where a large proportion of the population is not directly connected to platforms. In South Sudan, peacebuilders found that hate speech spread on Facebook would reach people fighting on the frontlines who did not have access to the internet via a network of peers (Clifford, 2017).

Destructive conflict escalation enabled by social media affects society as a whole. To understand the broader effects, we need to move away from a paradigm of individual harms and towards collective harm—as that is what matters to peace.

Moderation is not enough to prevent conflict escalation

The fundamental weakness of moderation as a conflict management approach is that it addresses only the most obvious forms of hate speech, coordinated harassment, misinformation and incitement to violence, without considering the processes that escalate conflict to that point or the context that may make subtler forms of speech more likely to lead to violence (Dangerous Speech Project, 2021). Emphasizing cultural practice, Udupa and Pohjonen (2019) urge us to move “beyond the binary and normative divisions of acceptable and unacceptable speech [and] pay attention to the everyday online practices that underlie contemporary digital cultures.”

Furthermore, the attempt to use content moderation as a primary tool creates new negative effects, in the form of unfair over-enforcement and under-enforcement, backlash against perceived bias, and the censorship of important views (Douek, 2021). Notably, content moderation practice frequently rebounds on exactly those it is supposed to protect, including women and minorities (e.g. Dwoskin et al., 2021). These effects work against any strategy that might de-escalate and transform conflict on platform.

Objective policies cannot capture dangerous speech

Trying to separate speech into “good” and “bad” faces a number of problems as a conflict management strategy. Dangerous speech—meaning speech that leads to violence—is often as much a product of the context and history in which it is said (Dangerous Speech Project, 2021), and evaluating such context is impossible within a scaled content moderation framework (Douek, 2021; Iyer, 2022). Technology companies themselves have noted that a great deal of harmful content approaches the border of “bad speech” without actually violating platform rules, and such “borderline” content receives more engagement even when users don’t endorse it (Zuckerberg, 2018). This can be mitigated to some extent by downranking borderline content, which many platforms do (Gillespie, 2022), but this still requires complex judgments of which content is deserving of this treatment.

More fundamentally, it is not difficult to escalate conflict without violating platform policies on hate speech or incitement to violence, especially against groups that have experienced historic discrimination. Human rights scholars have documented several other types of speech that precede violence (Dangerous Speech Project, 2021) including expressions of fear and rhetoric around protecting children. Recent work has shown how fear-based speech is often more prevalent than hate speech (Saha et al., 2023; Saha et al., 2021), and examples describing how online content leads to offline violence often describe fear speech (Taub & Fisher, 2018; Hegyi, 2020).

These kinds of speech cannot be captured by moderation policies because they are not inherently bad. Everyday activities such as the reporting of crime news can be linked to polarized attitudes (Peffley et al., 1996), but they are also important avenues to keeping oneself safe. Fear, collective emotion, and intergroup competition exist for adaptive social reasons and platforms justifiably point out that they reflect these basic human processes, which existed long before social media.

However, discussions of collective fear and competition were historically rare. The phrase “never cry wolf” illustrates the social cost of sparking fear, and the norms against using such techniques merely to attract attention. This has changed with the advent of new communications technology. For example, U.S. news headlines have come to express significantly more anger, fear, disgust, and sadness in the last two decades (Rozado et al. 2022). Platforms are not responsible for the existence of fear-driven narratives that pit groups against each other, but rather for the incentivization and amplification of such content, and the resulting escalation dynamics.

Reliance on moderation leads to bias, censorship, and reactance

Aside from the difficulty in deciding which speech is “bad,” removing such speech is immediately troubling from a freedom of expression perspective, especially because this classification will always be incomplete and error-prone (Douek, 2021). Since errors can never be made equal across languages, moderation across parties who speak different languages will always be biased toward one side or the other, and especially towards English and other colonial languages (e.g. BSR, 2022). Differences in enforcement rates between groups will always be interpreted as evidence of bias, even when these groups have different base rates of violation (Mosleh et al., 2022). In any case these base rates are often poorly known or poorly defined, and differences in group outcomes (as opposed to differences in policy application or enforcement thresholds) is itself a widely used measure of algorithmic fairness (Mitchell et al., 2021). Removal may even inflame conflict by legitimating grievances, as an analysis of European right-wing extremism suggests (Mølmen & Ravndal, 2018).

Moreover, conflict scholars have already noted that the strategy of simply removing “bad speech” is likely to fail (Puig Larrauri & Morrison, 2022) because it does not engage with the underlying drivers of escalation. Professional conflict transformation practices do not operate by attempting to prevent people from speaking, even though it is understood that certain types of speech can escalate conflict. Peacebuilders and mediators take a “multi-partial” approach which aims to view the conflict from multiple perspectives, understand the interests of the different parties, and respect the dignity and humanity of everyone involved (Zhang et al., 2020). Peacebuilding dialogues have to let everyone experience what it's like to be listened to, as this is key to eventually transforming the conflict in a more constructive direction. Removing actors or shutting down discourse can never be a systemic solution—conflict escalation will move elsewhere, to another platform, or take a different form.

Platforms could be designed to foster peace

The identification of the dynamics that push actors toward divisiveness and facilitate harassment and manipulation also points the way toward solutions. Some form of social media is likely to exist from now on, so it behooves us to improve upon these dynamics such that when conflict plays out online, it is not primarily a way to attract financially beneficial attention, retain power, or fuel violence. Having no conflict is unrealistic and unhealthy. Rather, the conflict which occurs should be productive, contained, and agonistic conflict which does not dehumanize the other. We organize conflict-sensitive platform design strategies into two broad categories: reducing destructive conflict and increasing constructive conflict.

Reducing the facilitation of destructive conflict

The links between platform operation and conflict escalation suggest a range of strategies beyond removing content. We discuss three: reducing engagement incentives to divisiveness, collecting additional feedback to discriminate between positive and negative engagement, and changing defaults to make it harder for conflict entrepreneurs to reach large numbers of people.

Strategy One: Reduce engagement incentives to divisiveness

The strategy with the most empirical support at this time is to reduce the weight of engagement signals in content selection, for those contexts where engagement has a tendency to incentivize divisive content. Some engagement interactions have no explicit user value judgment—users can comment, reply, retweet, spend time on, or reshare content that they find objectionable or intriguing, but that they do not endorse. Using such ambiguous signals to control the distribution of material on sensitive topics is inherently risky, because it creates incentives toward conflict. Some platforms have already taken important steps to reduce such incentives. Notably, Facebook removed predicted comments and shares from its ranking formula for political content, resulting in more than a 50% decrease in anger reactions on civic content as well as accompanying reductions in bullying, inaccurate information, and graphic content (Glazer et al., 2023). We are aware of one other large platform which has taken similar steps.

Some categories of ranking signals might turn out to be too difficult to use in a conflict-sensitive manner. For example, using “time spent” as a ranking signal prioritizes content that is more attention-grabbing, so it may not be possible to use this signal in a way that does not also incentivize the production of divisive content. Facebook de-emphasized time spent as part of its meaningful social interactions change (Oremus, 2017), but it is unclear to what degree time spent still influences content ranking. Recent source code releases suggest it is not used at Twitter (Narayanan, 2023), but we know time spent is a major signal for TikTok (Smith, 2021), and is predicted by the YouTube recommender as well (Zhao et al., 2019). Algorithmic transparency efforts could attempt to definitively determine the influence of time spent and other ambiguous signals across platforms.

Other interactions and incentives may be more subtle or context dependent, and can be detected by monitoring the spread of types of material that can be reliably identified as divisive, or more destructive than constructive. Platforms could audit their algorithms to understand which design choices are leading to the incentive toward division that publishers have reported. Ideally, these audits would be public, and allow for visibility into the experimental results that platforms use to understand the impact of design choices.

Strategy Two: Collect additional feedback to discriminate between positive and negative engagement

In addition to standard signals such as comments, shares, and time spent, other kinds of feedback signals might help users differentiate between content that is genuinely valuable, content they agree with, and content that they react to without necessarily endorsing.

A lab experiment with “like,” “recommend,” and “respect” buttons found that people were more likely to “respect” than “like” content they disagreed with (Stroud et al., 2017). Similar designs (e.g. an “informative” button) could help algorithms find and surface less divisive and more informative content. Conversely, platforms also ought to give users a prominent way to signal that content is of negative value, such as thumbs down, hide, or “see less” buttons, as such negative signals are important for moderating offline interactions and could similarly be useful online (Anonymous, 2019b).

In general, the problem of determining whether engagement means an item is genuinely valuable or merely attention-getting requires the collection of some sort of additional feedback, and there are many ways to do this including providing new user controls and directly asking a subset of users with surveys. Better conflict is one of many values we might want social media to support, and the methods to measure and operationalize these values are developing rapidly (Stray et al., 2022).

Strategy Three: Change defaults to make it harder for conflict entrepreneurs to reach large numbers of people

The third anti-escalation strategy we advocate for is a shift away from global distribution by default. Rather than defaulting to a design where any user can contact any other user, platforms could better attempt to ascertain the privacy desires of their users and enable those choices; what is good for business is not necessarily a good default from a conflict perspective. Such functionality has already proven to be a useful tool in some countries (Saini, 2020), and these tools should be made more widely accessible.

Similarly, rather than allowing a new, untrusted user the power to impact a large group of strangers, platforms should mirror real-life processes whereby individuals have to gain some level of trust to be able to reach broad groups of others. For example, Facebook has successfully used pagerank, which proxies offline reputation, to limit virality, with benefits in terms of reducing misinformation (Rodriguez, 2019). It would be better for individual users, who would be less subject to harassment from swarms of untrusted and potentially inauthentic users, and for society as a whole, if individuals who get broad distribution first need to earn some level of trust in the broader community.

Increasing incentives towards constructive conflict

Beyond reducing the facilitation of destructive conflict, platforms could be designed with constructive conflict in mind. The overall goal of this work would be to direct conflict in more constructive directions (Deutsch, 1973) rather than to suppress it entirely, in line with conflict transformation practices (Lederach, 2003). From a peacebuilding perspective, this is about promoting positive, constructive, cross-cutting encounters (Pettigrew & Tropp, 2006), cross-cutting group affiliations (Gaertner et al., 1999), more complex and diverse narratives (IFIT, 2021), and more complex, nuanced voices that model empathy and curiosity as norms. A number of studies have shown how important norms formed by example are in human behavior generally (Gelfand & Harrington, 2015) and in the online world specifically (Berry & Taylor, 2017; Bilewicz & Soral, 2020). We discuss three concrete strategies that could connect these principles to social media systems: algorithmically promoting bridging content, exposing people to alternative content, and conducting (and possibly automating) moderating encounters.

Strategy Four: Algorithmically promote bridging content

Bridging-based ranking prioritizes content that meets approval (or generates positive engagement) across diverse groups of people. This approach attempts to counteract the amplification of divisive material by favoring items which have cross-partisan appeal (Ovadya & Thorburn, 2023). A simple example is Facebook’s use of a crowdsourced survey to rate the credibility of news domains, rating as trustworthy only those with wide support (Owen, 2018). Twitter’s Community Notes system (formerly Birdwatch), which asks users for crowdsourced notes on misleading tweets, is a much more sophisticated approach. Raters rank multiple notes, and this user-note rating matrix is factored to separate out high ratings due to partisan agreement from high ratings due to overall note quality. Only those notes which are widely agreed to be high quality are displayed with the original tweet (Wojcik et al., 2022). Bridging is also the core idea of Polis, a successful deliberative democracy system that collects and clusters opinions on political issues, mapping the points of consensus (Small et al., 2021).

There are many potential ways to identify bridging content. Local peacebuilders in Build Up’s network have suggested allowing users to flag accounts which promote positive interaction or peace messaging. Promoting content which models constructive conflict is only possible if such content already exists on the platform. However, such promotion could change the incentives for the production of this type of bridging content, just as current engagement optimization incentivizes divisive content.

Strategy Five: Expose people to constructive content

Beyond highlighting user existing posts, it is also possible to foster constructive conflict by showing carefully designed messages. The Strengthening Democracy Challenge (Voelkel et al., 2023) systematically tested many different interventions (each of which had to be done online, alone, and in less than eight minutes) and found that 23 out of 25 improved intergroup attitudes, including reducing partisan animosity and reducing support for partisan violence. The interventions that most effectively reduced partisan animosity did so by either highlighting sympathetic and relatable individuals with different political beliefs, or presenting group identities that were common across partisan lines. The interventions that most effectively reduced support for partisan violence did so by correcting misperceptions of outpartisans’ views or providing pro-democratic cues from someone in the political elite. Understanding how design decisions may incentivize or disincentivize such content could help platforms make more conflict aware design choices.

Strategy Six: Support moderating encounters

When peacebuilders work on platforms they act as guides, coaches and bridge builders. They connect social media users to conversations that otherwise wouldn’t happen, expose them to other voices and resources, and attempt to shift discourse toward shared values of civility and respect. For example, The Commons project sought out Americans who were expressing polarizing views, and engaged them in a text conversation with the aim of providing a humanizing experience of communication without changing their opinion (Build Up, 2019). This approach was adapted and replicated in Kenya by a coalition of six universities, with similarly positive results (Ogenga, 2022). In Sri Lanka, the Cyber Guardians project of Search for Common Ground worked with social media influencers to change youth attitudes towards hate speech (Katheravelu, 2020). This sort of human facilitation work cannot yet be automated, but platforms could support existing peacebuilding efforts by promoting their programs in contexts where divisive conversations are likely to escalate.

Platforms might also consider providing API access to support more ambitious conflict transformation approaches. For example, it is possible to use large language models to help people rephrase their statements more constructively in a politically charged conversation (Argyle et al., 2023). Just as we have automated spelling checks in most products today, one could imagine these sorts of automated conflict assistants integrated into social media platforms.

No single design change is going to address conflict escalation in all circumstances. Conflict transformation is complex, and requires a shift in daily practices that eventually builds to a shift in societal norms. The design changes we suggest in this section could together help change the norms prevalent on platforms, away from divisiveness, hate, and fear, and towards plurality and empathy.

The challenge of metrics

As the above discussion suggests, there are many design changes that might alter the trajectory of conflict on social media. Unfortunately, theory alone cannot tell us which will work best. We must test different approaches and evaluate the results against some measure of constructive conflict.

This is illustrated by the process used to develop Twitter’s Community Notes, which tested eight different note ranking algorithms against two survey measures: agreement with misleading tweets, and trust in the appended notes (Wojcik et al.,2022). While a bridging-based ranking algorithm will involve the calculation of some sort of bridging signal—perhaps the difference in engagement across the sides in a conflict, or a matrix factorization approach like Community Notes—these types of signals cannot directly tell us what we really want to know: has a design change helped move the conflict from destructive to constructive?

So far, the conflict-relevant changes that have been implemented at platforms have mostly been evaluated using metrics designed for content moderation, such as the number of posts containing hate speech, incitement to violence, or misinformation, and the number of angry reactions generated, the number of accounts suspended for rule violations, and other similar indicators. These all have relevance to conflict, but were not designed to measure conflict intensity, nor discriminate between constructive and destructive conflict. Incitement to violence does not capture pre-violent escalation. Hate speech is not necessarily escalatory, and much violence is not driven by hate but fear (Leader Maynard & Benesch, 2016; Taub & Fisher, 2018; Hegyi, 2020). Misinformation is often divisive, but it is only one aspect of conflict.

Many other measures might provide better information about the state of a conflict. The Strengthening Democracy Challenge (Voelkel et al., 2023) tested each intervention against eight indicators: partisan animosity, support for undemocratic practices, support for partisan violence, support for undemocratic candidates, opposition to bipartisan cooperation, social distrust, and social distance, and biased evaluation of politicized facts. One could also add measures for affective polarization, dehumanization, and others.

All of these are survey measures, which can provide considerably more information than on-platform behavior alone. For example, Facebook asked users whether they perceived particular items to be “bad for the world” (Pawha, 2021; Anonymous, 2020c) which tended to be a signal of posts which were highly engaging yet more likely to contain hate speech, incitement, or graphic violence. Highly reshared content was more likely to be judged by users to be “bad for the world” (Anonymous, 2020c). This is an admittedly imperfect but potentially useful signal as to whether on-platform conflict is getting better or worse. Still, survey measures can be limited by user subjectivity and sample size, and so ideal measurement would combine methodologies across survey, content, and engagement modalities to mitigate the error of any one method (see Stray et al., 2022 for a discussion).

Ideal metrics would be public facing and previously agreed upon by external stakeholders (Stray, 2020). This is both a democratic and a pragmatic concern, as platforms may perceive no incentive to invest in conflict mitigation if they expect to be criticized regardless of anything they do. Such metrics could be used by researchers, regulators, advertisers, and the general public to hold platforms accountable for their design decisions in a way that is not currently possible. No metric is perfect, but an imperfect metric can be helpful, as long as it is not used strongly as a model objective (Manheim & Garrabrant, 2018; Zhuang & Hadfield-Menell, 2020).

In the final analysis, it is global society, not platforms, who must decide on how we evaluate conflict, including how we measure whether it is constructive or destructive.

Barriers to implementation

If platforms have made earnest efforts to improve their relationship to conflict, why do the experiences of those within conflict settings still suggest that the net effect is negative? One answer is that there are structural barriers that exist within large platforms and the business incentives they experience that may make progress difficult.

When it is easy to measure business outcomes and hard to measure societal impact, the basic desire to reduce cognitive dissonance will lead even the most well-meaning business to assume their business metrics are not at odds with societal needs. The complexity of the problem also means that there are few widely agreed-upon metrics that disambiguate constructive from destructive conflict. It will not be possible to create good metrics without the data, experimental capability and deep operational knowledge that platforms possess, yet the process of creating and legitimating a metric must also involve external stakeholders (Stray, 2020).

Beyond creating public metrics, society should help platforms by taking some of the complex decision making out of their hands. Just as building designers have clear guidelines as to what safety standards are expected of them from society, so too could society provide clear guidance to companies as to what design patterns they need to follow. The design strategies above are informed by previous work. New research could help uncover other design patterns that could eventually be incorporated into conflict-sensitive design principles for online spaces. Some part of that research will inevitably (and sometimes necessarily) be done within companies, and it is hoped that companies, academics, policymakers, and engaged citizens could eventually work together to incorporate that evidence into our overall body of knowledge. Currently, collaborations with external researchers are very difficult to arrange, but we hope that forthcoming regulation will improve that, such as the researcher data access provisions of the European Union Digital Services Act.

Conclusion

There is now good evidence, from multiple methods and perspectives, that social media platforms have had negative effects on societal conflict by pushing moderate actors toward divisiveness and enabling the actions of conflict entrepreneurs. These problems cannot be solved by content moderation, but must be addressed through design changes that help prevent the escalation of destructive conflict. From all of this evidence and experience, we have identified six broad strategies platforms might use to discourage destructive conflict before it escalates to violence.

1. Reduce engagement incentives to divisiveness. Reduce the weight of engagement signals in content selection, for those contexts where engagement has a tendency to incentivize the production of destructive conflict.
2. Collect additional feedback to discriminate between positive and negative engagement. New kinds of reactions (e.g. an “informative” button), controls, and user surveys might help distinguish between attention and value.
3. Change defaults to make it harder for conflict entrepreneurs to reach large numbers of people. Shift away from global distribution by default, and rely more on community and reputation.
4. Algorithmically promote bridging content. It’s not just engagement that matters, but the diversity of the people who are engaging.
5. Expose people to constructive content. Professional peacebuilders produce a wide variety of media designed to transform destructive conflict, and experimental evidence confirms that it shifts attitudes.
6. Support moderating encounters. Find ways to help people have positive online encounters, including API-level integration with peacebuilding programs that aim to connect people.

To their credit, platforms have taken some of these steps toward improving their impact on conflict that we can learn from and build upon. Ample evidence exists for a design playbook that can help platforms improve their relationship to conflict. Society has an active role to play in partnering with platforms on the development of that playbook and the measurement of results.

© 2023, Jonathan Stray, Ravi Iyer, & Helena Puig Larrauri.

Cite as: Jonathan Stray, Ravi Iyer, & Helena Puig Larrauri, The Algorithmic Management of Polarization and Violence on Social Media, 23-05 Knight First Amend. Inst. (Aug. 22, 2023), https://knightcolumbia.org/content/the-algorithmic-management-of-polarization-and-violence-on-social-media [https://perma.cc/4NY5-GLFV].

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